Reel Talk: Golden Globe predictions
January 7, 2016
The Golden Globes are this Sunday, which is, coincidentally, two days before my birthday. So, I’ll be watching as an early birthday present, and as a present for you, I’ll predict who I think will win the awards come Sunday. Beware: Nothing is set in stone, but I do have a good track record (even though this year’s predictions are all over the place).
Best motion picture, drama
“Spotlight”
“Carol”
“The Revenant”
“Mad Max: Fury Road”
“Room”
Should win: “Mad Max: Fury Road”
Will win: “Spotlight”
This is a very important category, as most of the movies in this category will be nominated for the Oscar. While I, of course, would love to see a “Mad Max: Fury Road” upset, I think the hype around “Spotlight” will keep it going to the prize. However, the Golden Globes are known to snub frontrunners, so “Carol” might have a shot. The two popular lead actresses and the buzz surrounding the film could make the Globes award it over the understated “Spotlight.”
Best motion picture, comedy/musical
“Joy”
“The Martian”
“Trainwreck”
“The Big Short”
“Spy”
Should win: “The Big Short”
Will win: “The Martian”
The success, both critically and commercially, of “The Martian,” coupled with its starry cast and big-named director, make it Globes fodder. However, “The Big Short” is a better movie, and more of a comedy. Still, the Globes might have put “The Martian” in this category in order to award it the prize and get Ridley Scott to do a rambling speech. I see it getting the award.
Best actor in a motion picture, drama
Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Revenant”
Eddie Redmayne, “The Danish Girl”
Michael Fassbender, “Steve Jobs”
Will Smith, “Concussion”
Bryan Cranston, “Trumbo”
Should win: Michael Fassbender
Will win: Leonardo DiCaprio
Leonardo DiCaprio is known for never winning the Oscar. “The Revenant” was Oscar-bait for him the minute it was announced to be in production. He will most likely win both this award and the Oscar, but I enjoyed Fassbender’s complex performance as Steve Jobs.
Best actor in a motion picture, comedy/musical
Matt Damon, “The Martian”
Steve Carell, “The Big Short”
Al Pacino, “Danny Collins”
Mark Ruffalo, “Infinitely Polar Bear”
Christian Bale, “The Big Short”
Should win: Matt Damon
Will win: Matt Damon
Matt Damon’s natural charisma in “The Martian” is the best thing about that movie. Although the film may be a drama, his performance was the funniest thing about it.
Best actress in a motion picture, drama
Brie Larson, “Room”
Saoirse Ronan, “Brooklyn”
Cate Blanchett, “Carol”
Alicia Vikander, “The Danish Girl”
Rooney Mara, “Carol”
Should win: Rooney Mara
Will win: Brie Larson
Both Mara and Alicia Vikander will try to be entered into the supporting actress category for the Oscars (per their film’s distribution companies request) even though both roles are clearly leading. Mara’s role is more so, and her lead performance won her a Cannes Film Festival award for best actress. She is fantastic in the role, and favored for the Oscar if she is nominated for supporting at the Oscars. If she wins, it can shake up the Oscar categories, but I don’t think the Globes want to rock the boat that much. Larson is the popular, young actress with a heartbreaking performance that everyone loved. I see her going home with the prize.
Best actress in a motion picture, comedy/musical
Jennifer Lawrence, “Joy”
Amy Schumer, “Trainwreck”
Lily Tomlin, “Grandma”
Melissa McCarthy, “Spy”
Maggie Smith, “The Lady in the Van”
Should win: Lily Tomlin
Will win: Amy Schumer
Whatever you may think about Schumer and her comedic style, she is a popular comedian with a funny performance in a successful comedy. That’s what the Globes love. Still, Tomlin’s beautifully funny performance is a career-high and more deserving of the award.
There are many more categories that I could do, but everything that I wrote and will write could change. It will be interesting to actually watch on Sunday and be on the edge of my seat. I’m looking forward to it.